Saturday, January 18, 2014

On Love and Fear in Politics

January 18, 2013, 9:20 a.m. -- and see, "Governor Christie's 'Plausible Deniability; And Why Democrats Should Care," January 13, 2014.

From Machiavelli to Christie

[A] question arises: whether it be better to be loved than feared or feared than loved? It may be answered that one should wish to be both, but [it] . . . is much safer to be feared than loved . . .. [People] are ungrateful, fickle, false, cowardly, covetous, and as long as you succeed they are yours . . .. [The] prince who, relying entirely on their promises, has neglected other precautions, is ruined; because friendships . . . cannot be relied upon . . .. [L]love is preserved by the link of obligation which, owing to the baseness of men, is broken at every opportunity for their advantage; but fear preserves you by a dread of punishment which never fails.

-- Nicolo Machiavelli, The Prince (1532), Chapter 17, "Concerning Cruelty And Clemency, And Whether It Is Better To Be Loved Than Feared"
Machiavelli's The Prince was the Governing for Dummies of his day. First distributed in 1517 -- nearly 600 years ago -- as advice to 16th Century politicians and rulers, it was not actually printed until after his death in 1527. It has, since then, been the desk reference manual for public officials the world around, and a subject of much study by the political scientists in the academy. Its how-to observations and suggestions are the ultimate in pragmatism, as the quote, above, illustrates. It is what, in foreign relations, is characterized as realpolitik. [Portrait by Santi di Tito.]

So why is a blog that focuses on 20th and 21st Century issues offering book reviews of 600-year-old publications? Because The Prince seems relevant to the issues of our day -- namely, New Jersey Governor Chris Christie's current challenges that have earned him a "gate" from the media: "BridgeGate." See "Governor Christie's 'Plausible Deniability'; And Why Democrats Should Care," Jan. 13 (with its links to more background).

The end of that blog essay addresses the distinctions -- and the relative moral and political judgments by voters -- between the one-off instance of a deliberate creation of traffic jams on the George Washington bridge, and what may be a personality prone to anger, mean-spiritedness, petty revenge and retribution. [Photo credit: multiple sources.] Here are the excerpts used there from a New York Times's itemization of past paybacks:

Kate Zernike, “Stories Add Up as Bully Image Trails Christie,” New York Times, Dec. 25, 2013, p. A1:
• In 2011, Mr. Christie . . . accused State Senator [and former Governor] Richard J. Codey of being “combative and difficult” in blocking two nominees. . . . Three days later, . . . the state police superintendent inform[ed] him that he would no longer be afforded [a state] trooper . . .— a courtesy granted all former governors. [Codey’s] . . . cousin . . . [a state employee] was fired, as was [his] former deputy chief of staff [from another state position]. . . .

• [T]he governor . . . wanted [redistricting commission member, Rutgers political scientist, Alan] Rosenthal to vote for the [Republicans’ redistricting] map, . . . but [Rosenthal] chose the Democrats’ plan . . .. Soon after, Mr. Christie used his line-item veto to cut $169,000 [from Rosenthal’s Rutgers] institute . . ..

• Mr. Christie was smarting from [Republican State Senator Sean T. Kean’s] criticism that [Christie should have called] earlier for a state of emergency [following a] blizzard [that] paralyzed the state . . .. [Christie] . . . held [a] news conference in Mr. Kean’s . . . district. [A] member of the governor’s staff warned [Kean] not to show up. His seat was eliminated in redistricting the following year. . . .

• Republican, State Senator Christopher Bateman, [who] voted against the governor’s plan to reorganize . . . public medical education . . .. had been working with the governor to get a judge appointed . . .. Suddenly, after months when it looked as if it would happen, the nomination stalled.
When you start a discussion with lawyers about such matters they immediately want to leap to what is legally permissible and what is prohibited. That's understandable. Had I discussed the issues with engineers, they might have leaped to the engineering of bridge design.

As someone who teaches in a law school, I am not disinterested in the constitutional and legal rights and wrongs here. They are involved, and they are important. They're just not what I want to explore at the moment.

Neither is the focus here on Christie. He is simply the catalyst to this exploration. His political future is not insignificant, for some of the reasons explored in the Jan. 13 blog essay linked above. If the voters of New Jersey, and the rest of America, find him an unacceptable potential presidential candidate because of BridgeGate, that will impact what the Republican Party can and does become, who its ultimate 2016 candidate turns out to be, and therefore the chances of Hillary Clinton, or whomever else the Democrats may settle on for their candidate.

The focus is more general. It is, how can we as individuals, and a body politic, go about at least thinking about political executives (e.g., for the most part, presidents and governors, but actually any institution's chief executive) and the means they use to persuade or manipulate others into bending to their will. Addressing norms, rather than "the law," what behavior should we consider (a) perfectly acceptable, (b) unacceptable but forgivable, or (c) unacceptable, unforgivable, and grounds for ousting them from office?

While there will be some overlap, these are judgments that will vary significantly from one individual to another. They will be influenced by one's religious, moral and ethical values, and the standards of one's family and peers. They will likely also be influenced by one's ideological and political affiliations -- being more forgiving of transgressions by members of one's political party than those of "the opposition." See "Snopes, Popes, and Presidents; Believing is Seeing," Dec. 26.

Let's begin with a continuum.

At the far right end of our continuum, the most extreme and unforgivable means would include beheading and other forms of assassination -- seen in modern times from North Korea's young leader, terrorist organizations, as part of many of the ongoing wars around the world, the Mexican drug cartels and other criminal organizations. Only marginally better would be techniques of torture, or credible threats of physical harm to oneself or family members. Imprisoning "political prisoners" would be another example.

At the far left of the continuum would be techniques used not just by politicians, but by almost everyone in everyday life: establishing a social relationship out of repeated contacts ("three cups of tea"), doing favors and giving gifts (such as an elected official with above average fundraising leverage passing out money to fellow legislators). (The rule of thumb when I was in Washington was that you would do 10 favors for a House member before asking him or her for a favor.) Some techniques of negotiation, presentation and persuasion -- unassociated with any suggestion of reward or presentation -- are more effective than others (the "Johnson Treatment" of LBJ comes to mind). Good, basic social skills can go a long way.

Presumably, most people would find these minimal, positive techniques well within the "perfectly acceptable" category. Somewhat to the right would be shouting, berating or otherwise frightening an opponent -- especially in public. (In this case it might be hard to separate the negative reaction of others to this kind of (a) immature and boorish behavior by anyone, from (b) the inappropriateness of a public official using this technique of persuasion.) Further to the right would be news conference, speeches, or other public statements by the official in which someone's professional competence or integrity is disparaged.

What are some of the factors we might find relevant within these two extremes? Here are some that occur to me:
(1) "The Lord giveth, and the Lord taketh away." Would we make a distinction between (a) rewarding a legislator with something they otherwise would not have had for supporting the president or governor, and (b) punishing them by taking away something they already had for not supporting him or her? The reward might be a visit to their district for a fundraiser, selecting them for an overseas junket delegation, a ride on Air Force One, an invitation to a dinner at the White House (or governor's mansion). The punishment might be the opposite of all of the above (e.g., cancelling your participation at their fundraiser), working behind the scenes to have them denied a committee assignment they need, or influencing their major donors to switch their support to an opponent. (Each of the New York Times's examples of Christie's past behavior involve taking something away: the trooper traditionally given all prior governors, the appropriation for the professor's institute, the district formerly represented by the legislator, the judicial appointment formerly on track.) In both instances, whether reward or punishment, the executive is intervening in the process, introducing a factor unrelated to the merits of the matter at hand.

(2) Tradition. Is the executive's behavior out of the norm -- such as the denial of a trooper for an individual former governor? The fact that predecessors have done whatever it is doesn't make it right. But it is at least makes the executive's behavior not a novel extension of arbitrary, punitive power. We might ask, "Is it common for governors to line-veto appropriations for non-supporters?"

(3) Merits. Should we make a distinction between an executive's use of persuasive techniques (of whatever nature) to accomplish something that can plausibly be asserted to have a "public interest" component (such as President Lincoln's efforts on behalf of the Thirteenth Amendment), as distinguished from something more personal to the executive (such as a Democratic mayor's failure to endorse a Republican governor's re-election)?

(4) Motive and fear. What of Machiavelli's observations regarding the necessity of leading through fear? At what point do an official's motives in the use of recrimination techniques to engender fear, to make people think twice before crossing him or her, cross over the line into "unacceptable"?
What other factors should be considered?

Clearly, the Christie case is worthy of consideration in its own right. But it is also a gateway into this broader inquiry.

Any and all help with this, in the form of comments, suggestions, additional approaches would be appreciated.

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Monday, January 13, 2014

Governor Christie's 'Plausible Deniability'

January 13, 2014, 5:30p.m. -- and see, "On Love and Fear in Politics; From Machiavelli to Christie," January 18, 2014.

And Why Democrats Should Care
Plausible deniability is a term coined by the CIA in the early 1960s . . .. The term most often refers to the capacity of senior officials in a formal or informal chain of command to deny knowledge of and/or responsibility for any damnable actions committed by the lower ranks because of a lack of evidence that can confirm their participation, even if they were personally involved or at least willfully ignorant of said actions.

-- "Plausible deniability", Wikipedia.org
New Jersey Republican Governor Chris Christie's "bridge-gate" deserves, and appears to be getting, more than a brief news cycle. Kate Zernike and Marc Santora, "‘Very Sad’ Chris Christie Extends Apology in Bridge Scandal," New York Times, Jan. 10, 2014, p. A1. [Photo credit: unknown.]

If you're unfamiliar with the story, on August 12th of last year, Bridget Anne Kelly, the Governor's Deputy Chief of Staff, sent an email to David Wildstein. Wildstein, who had known Christie since high school, worked at the Port Authority, the agency that manages the George Washington Bridge connecting Fort Lee, New Jersey, with New York City. According to the Times story, linked above, the email read in its entirety, "'Time for some traffic problems in Fort Lee' . . .. One month later, on Sept. 9, Mr. Wildstein ordered traffic lanes from Fort Lee closed, causing a traffic nightmare that added hours to the commutes of thousands of drivers." Ibid. (The story cited and linked is but one of hundreds, some with additional details. They can be easily found with a Google search. But this is enough for the purposes of this blog essay.)

Here are some of the questions I see in all this:

Why do Democrats who care about their country as well as their party have a stake in this?

Did Governor Christie order, participate in, or have knowledge of the lane closings?

Even if he did not, has Governor Christie created such "a culture of retribution" that it is the equivalent of his active participation?

Is it not only reasonable and probable, but even commendable, that employees endeavor to internalize and be guided by how they believe their supervisors might decide the issues that arise -- up until the point at which the best option is to resign?

Are there any possible, plausible motives for Kelly and Wildstein to have launched the lane closings other than their desire to anticipate and execute what they believed would be the Governor's wishes?

What is the evidence that the Governor might have, or did, desire retribution against Fort Lee Mayor Mark Sokolich?

What other explanation might there be for the Governor seeking retribution against Fort Lee?
More will undoubtedly be added to this blog essay over time. But for now, here are some summary responses.

Why do Democrats who care about their country as well as their party have a stake in this?
Am I a Democrat? Having run for a congressional seat in an Iowa Democratic Party primary, and received three presidential appointments from presidents who were Democrats, you'd probably have to say so. But it's also true that I am equally disgusted with both parties when it comes to the current system of campaign finance and its consequences -- the seeming inability of the legislative branch to represent the real interests of the 99%, putting members' prospects for re-election over everything else, gerrymandering the congressional districts, trying to score political points against each other, willingness to bring down the government and the nation's only president, throwing every possible roadblock in the way of third parties, refusing such remedies as "instant runoff," among other things.

Besides, every four years I try to identify the best Republican presidential candidate -- and not based on how easy it will be to defeat him or her. Given our two-party politics, the president will likely be either a Democrat or a Republican. Both parties almost always have a chance of having their candidate win. If it turns out to be the Republican, I'd far rather it be one we can all live with. (During the 2012 presidential election I ended up having to choose three Republican candidates, one after another, because the best ones kept dropping out, but ended up with this: "Why Mitt Romney? Better Than 'Least Worst' Republican," March 22, 2012; but see, "Abandoning Romney; Foreign Relations Disqualification, Now Domestic, Too," Sept. 22, 2012.)

Prior to "bridge-gate" I was already thinking about Governor Chris Christie as my probable Republican choice for 2016. And I haven't abandoned the idea. But it is on hold until bridge-gate gets fully investigated. Depending on the answers to the questions I raise here, he may still be the best we can find as a Republican candidate -- someone who does not hate either "government" or Democrats, and is willing to work with both. This is no time for Democrats to be trashing him, before looking around backstage to see if there are any qualified understudies to play the role. Democrats who believe Christie is "unacceptable" are obliged to answer the usual question, "Compared to what?"
Did Governor Christie order, participate in, or have knowledge of the lane closings?
As the following questions suggest, even if Christie had no actual knowledge of or participation in what his staff was doing, that is far from the end of this matter. In fact, focusing on that question -- as his Republican defenders have done -- is a bit of a diversion, whether intended or not.
Even if he did not know or participate, has Governor Christie created such "a culture of retribution" that it is the equivalent of his active participation?
If in fact what was done was retribution, done to punish an individual or group for something displeasing to Christie, is this the first and only incidence, or is it merely the latest (and perhaps most extreme) example of what has been a pattern of such behavior? If it is part of a pattern of behavior, that becomes significant for at least four reasons.
(1) While not proof, it is some support for the suspicion that retribution was the motive for bridge-gate.
(2) Even if he is totally innocent of any wrongdoing with regard to bridge-gate, most of us would not welcome the idea of putting in the White House a person whose political and personal personality involves a consistent pattern of retribution, bullying and pettiness.
(3) Such a pattern of behavior would explain why his employees might engage in such actions without his knowledge or participation.
(4) Indeed, if his employees knew that they were deliberately to use the tactics of plausible deniability as standard operating procedure, that would be further evidence of Christie's personal awareness that what was being done was wrong.

[Discovered after writing this: Kate Zernike, “Stories Add Up as Bully Image Trails Christie,” New York Times, Dec. 25, 2013, p. A1 (“Every organization takes its cues from the leadership as to what’s acceptable and what’s not, and this governor, in his public appearances, has made thuggery acceptable,” said Assemblyman John S. Wisniewski . . .. “For the governor to say, ‘I knew nothing about this’? He created the atmosphere in which this is acceptable.”] And see the addendum of prior examples at the bottom of this blog essay.
Is it not only reasonable and probable, but even commendable, that employees endeavor to internalize and be guided by how they believe their supervisors might decide the issues that arise -- up until the point at which the best option is to resign?
When President Lyndon Johnson appointed me U.S. Maritime Administrator, I undertook a study of my president, found out as much about him as I could, talked to White House staff and his longtime friends, subscribed to the "Weekly Compilation of Presidential Documents," and read every statement published there. Before long, I was pretty good at predicting what he would say and do. Relying on that, and the conversations I had with him, the job description I wrote for myself was to approach every decision with that background in mind. What would he want me to do? What would he do, if he were serving as Maritime Administrator?

In my experience, most aides to political figures approach their jobs in this way. Given the number of people who want, and are considered, for such jobs, they are also relatively bright and more than relatively politically sophisticated.

It is for those reasons that I do find it hard to believe that Kelly and Wildstein would have launched anything as serious and potentially explosive as bridge-gate without at least believing (whether well founded or not) that it was what Governor Christie would have wanted them to do.
Are there any possible and plausible motives for Kelly and Wildstein to have launched the lane closings other than their desire to anticipate and execute what they believed would be the Governor's wishes?
It is hard for me to imagine what personal motives Kelly and Wildstein might have had for causing bridge-gate, or how they would have benefited, or thought they might have personally benefited from doing so. This is not, so far as what's now revealed, a case of an employee embezzling money, turning over politically damaging material to the media or an opponent, using their position to obtain something of economic value, or a job, from someone doing business with the government. It doesn't appear that they would have a motive to do the Governor deliberate harm.
What is the evidence that the Governor might have, or did, desire retribution against Fort Lee Mayor Mark Sokolich?
There are two questions here in addition to those above.

One involves the extent to which there is evidence that, if Christie was inclined to seek retribution against anyone, people in Fort Lee might be targeted.

If the answer to that is "yes," then the second question is whether there is evidence that Fort Lee Mayor Mark Sokolich was the person who was the target and trigger for Christie's pique.

There is undoubtedly more to come, and it may make clear beyond a reasonable doubt that, whatever Governor Christie's pattern of retributive behavior may be, and regardless of whether he was aware of the bridge-gate plan, the Governor was inclined to go after Democratic Mayor Sokolich for his failure to endorse Republican Governor Christie's re-election. But that is yet to be proved.

Some Democratic mayors may have been punished for not endorsing the Governor. It also appears, however, that numerous Democratic New Jersey mayors were not punished by the Governor for their failure to endorse him. It would be useful to know by what rationale Sokolich would have been singled out for this treatment.

Governor Christie said on the Rachel Maddow Show January 9, "Mayor Sokolich was never on my radar screen. He was never mentioned to me as somebody whose endorsement we were pursuing. In fact, I think he said on CNN last night he doesn`t recall ever being asked for his endorsement. . . . I never saw this as political retribution because I didn`t think he did anything to us. Now, we pursued lots of endorsements during the campaign from Democrats and we didn`t receive most of them. We received about 60 at the end of the day. We pursued hundreds. . . . I don`t have any recollection of . . . anybody . . . asking me to meet with Mayor Sokolich . . . the typical course that was used when we were attempting to get an endorsement . . .. I don`t remember ever meeting Mayor Sokolich in that context." "'The Rachel Maddow Show' for Thursday, January 9, 2014," Jan. 9, 2014.

[After writing this, I find TalkingPointsMemo reports, "The one thing that seems clear is that fewer and fewer people think this was all about an campaign endorsement." Josh Marshall, "TPM Editor's Blog/BridgeGate: The Who and the Why," TalkingPointsMemo.com, Jan. 13, 2014.]
What other explanation might there be for the Governor seeking retribution against Fort Lee?
What has, so far, made the most sense to me is the theory -- and that's all it is -- that I heard Rachel Maddow suggest last Thursday [Jan. 9]. Maddow noted that the now-famous email ("Time for traffic problems in Fort Lee") was sent 7:34 the morning after the night before. And what happened the night before? Apparently, Christie's frustration with N.J. Senate Democrats took the form of an angry outburst. It seems the Governor broke with the previously unbroken N.J. tradition that judges are re-appointed, and refused to give a reappointment to a Democrat-appointed judge. In response, the N.J. State Senate Democrats have repeatedly refused to approve the Governor's replacement nominees. Ultimately, the Governor even pulled the name of a personal friend.

As Ms. Maddow put it, "The reason he said he did it in her case is . . . because he said Senate Democrats were animals . . . and he was not going to subject this judge who he respected . . . to the savagery of the Senate Democrats.

(BEGIN VIDEO CLIP)

"CHRISTIE: . . . I simply could not be party to the destruction of Helen Hoens` professional reputation . . .. I`m taking responsibility for not allowing this group of people to do to her what they did to [the other nominees]. . . . [W]hat the ramifications will be for that going forward, they should have thought about before they opened their mouths. . . .

(END VIDEO CLIP)

"MADDOW: That was an angry Chris Christie . . . furious with Senate Democrats at a hastily called press conference that took place late in the day on Tuesday, August 12th, 2013. . . . [A]nd it is the next morning at 7:34 . . . that his deputy chief of staff gives the go-ahead to the Port Authority. "Time for some traffic problems in Fort Lee." Go to the list of legislative districts . . .. Find . . . Fort Lee, New Jersey, [it's] legislative district 37. Who represents district 37? . . . [T]he leader of the Senate Democrats . . . represents Fort Lee [Senate Majority leader, Loretta Weinberg]. "'The Rachel Maddow Show' for Thursday, January 9, 2014," Jan. 9, 2014.

At this point in time nobody knows if Ms. Maddow's theory ultimately will prove to be the explanation for this or not. But right now, if I had to choose, it sounds a lot more credible than that bridge-gate occurred because the Governor was trying to punish a mayor for failing to endorse him. Of course, this that they were telling the truth when the Governor said he didn't realize that the Fort Lee Mayor was one of the mayors whose endorsement his campaign was trying to get, that he had never met with the mayor about that, and the mayor's declaration that he has no clear recollection that he was contacted by anyone else in the campaign.

For another possibility, see, Brian Murphy, "Is a Billion Dollar Development Project at the Heart of Bridgegate?" TalkingPointsMemo, Jan. 12, 2014 ("We now know that a major redevelopment project, one that depends on Port Authority assets and relationships, was put in jeopardy at a vulnerable financial moment, and in a way that put the viability of the entire project at risk. But we still don’t know why. This batch of subpoenaed documents isn’t going to tell us, and the people who know – who really know – either aren’t talking or haven’t yet been questioned.").
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Addendum, Jan. 16. There are two sets of separate issues here with regard to Governor Christie's use of retribution against opponents. One involves bridge-gate: (a) did retribution figure as a motive for closing lanes? (b) if so, against whom was it directed? And, of course, (c) to what degree was Governor Christie informed or involved in the plan and its execution?

The second set of issues involves the extent to which Christie has a pattern of punishing his "enemies." If bridge-gate is the only instance in which Christie has ever engaged in retribution, it could, perhaps, be excused -- notwithstanding its substantive seriousness. We could look at it as a one-off aberration, albeit a dangerous and possibly illegal one. But it would not need to be viewed as a disqualifying element of his character; something that he would carry into the oval office.

If, on the other hand, it is consistent with a prior pattern of extreme, retributive actions against opponents or those who otherwise displease him, that pattern (as distinguished from this one instance) is a matter of much greater concern.

There is at least some significant evidence, alas, that retribution may be a fundamental part of his character and method of operation and governing.

Kate Zernike, “Stories Add Up as Bully Image Trails Christie,” New York Times, Dec. 25, 2013, p. A1:
• In 2011, Mr. Christie . . . accused State Senator [and former Governor] Richard J. Codey of being “combative and difficult” in blocking two nominees. . . . Three days later, . . . the state police superintendent inform[ed] him that he would no longer be afforded [a state] trooper . . .— a courtesy granted all former governors. [Codey’s] . . . cousin . . . [a state employee] was fired, as was [his] former deputy chief of staff [from another state position]. . . .

• [T]he governor . . . wanted [redistricting commission member, Rutgers political scientist, Alan] Rosenthal to vote for the [Republicans’ redistricting] map, . . . but [Rosenthal] chose the Democrats’ plan . . .. Soon after, Mr. Christie used his line-item veto to cut $169,000 [from Rosenthal’s Rutgers] institute . . ..

• Mr. Christie was smarting from [Republican State Senator Sean T. Kean’s] criticism that [Christie should have called] earlier for a state of emergency [following a] blizzard [that] paralyzed the state . . .. [Christie] . . . held [a] news conference in Mr. Kean’s . . . district. [A] member of the governor’s staff warned [Kean] not to show up. His seat was eliminated in redistricting the following year. . . .

• Republican, State Senator Christopher Bateman, [who] voted against the governor’s plan to reorganize . . . public medical education . . .. had been working with the governor to get a judge appointed . . .. Suddenly, after months when it looked as if it would happen, the nomination stalled.
Now some may look at these examples and say, "Yeah, and so? Many public officials, from police to presidents, are invested with considerable discretion. Apparently Christie finds sticks more effective than carrots. What's the big deal?" Stalled nominations have recently become routine in Washington. So what's so shocking about the fact they apparently happen in New Jersey, too?

But let us put Governor Christie aside for a moment, and look at this issue more generally. Are there neutral principles, reasonable standards generally agreed upon, regarding the outer limits of the norms restraining executive abuse of persuasive tactics? The 2012 movie, "Lincoln," for example, portrays what some might consider Lincoln's excessive use of persuasive techniques to get the House of Representatives to put forward the Thirteenth Amendment to the Constitution in 1865. There are many stories about "the Johnson treatment" that President Lyndon Johnson used on House and Senate members -- though I cannot immediately come up with examples of things done by either Lincoln or Johnson that come close to deliberately causing a traffic jam across a major bridge. President Nixon, of course, had his famous "enemies list." For an entire blog essay devoted to this inquiry, see "On Love and Fear in Politics; From Machiavelli to Christie," January 18, 2014.

Meanwhile: To deny a former governor the assistance of a state trooper apparently at least violates a New Jersey norm; firing state employees, who have done no wrong, to get back at a relative of theirs may actually be a violation of law. Eliminating a legislator's seat for a remark would seem similar. Denying an academic his state appropriated research grant because he supports a redistricting plan opposed by the Governor also looks like at least a violation of norms, if not of law -- unless the "commission" is, and is intended to be, a part of the governor's staff, and subject to executing his wishes.
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Addendum, January 22, 2014. Hoboken. "In a television interview on Saturday, she [the mayor of Hoboken, N.J., Dawn Zimmer, a Democrat] said that two high-ranking aides to Mr. Christie had threatened to withhold money for Hurricane Sandy recovery to her hard-hit city if she did not support a real estate development that the governor wanted built in her jurisdiction. . . . Speaking on MSNBC, she produced journal entries that she said documented conversations in which Lt. Gov. Kim Guadagno and Richard E. Constable [Department of Community Affairs], told her that if she wanted the money, she had to approve the project." Michael Barbaro and Kate Zernike, "Mayor of Hoboken Says Hurricane Relief Was Threatened," New York Times, Jan. 19, 2014, p. A21.

For the response denying these assertions, see Patrick McGeehan, "Lieutenant Governor Calls Hoboken Mayor's Claims 'Illogical," New York Times, Jan. 21, 2014, p. A14 (“Any suggestion that Sandy funds were tied to the approval of any project in New Jersey is completely false.”).

There will be, no doubt, considerably more to come involving Chris Christie's past behavior in general, and the facts surrounding bridge-gate in particular.

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Tuesday, January 07, 2014

Polar Vortex

January 7, 2013, 8:00 a.m.

God's 'Cold Shoulder' Revenge

I thought "polar vortex" was a patented new fabric for winter wear. When none of the Iowa City stores seemed to have any in stock, further research revealed it's just more scientist-speak (see below). [Photo credit: Nick Brancaccio, Windsor Star.]

Scientists want to have a scientific explanation for everything, whether they really understand it or not.

No wonder an ever-increasing number of Republicans -- now 57% -- are coming to reject even the theory of evolution. As a recent Pew Center poll revealed, even among
"those who express a belief in human evolution . . . roughly a quarter of adults (24%) say that 'a supreme being guided the evolution of living things for the purpose of creating humans and other life in the form it exists today.' . . .

White evangelical Protestants are particularly likely to believe that humans have existed in their present form since the beginning of time. Roughly two-thirds (64%) express this view . . ..

There also are sizable differences by party affiliation in beliefs about evolution, and the gap between Republicans and Democrats has grown. In 2009, 54% of Republicans and 64% of Democrats said humans have evolved over time, a difference of 10 percentage points. Today, 43% of Republicans and 67% of Democrats say humans have evolved, a 24-point gap."
"Public's Views on Human Evolution," Pew Research: Religion & Public Life Project, Pew Research Center, Dec. 30, 2013.

In other words, the current cold snap has a religious, rather than a scientific, explanation. It is just God -- or as the non-believers say, "Mother Nature" -- giving the climate change theorists her cold shoulder.

Makes sense to me.

The previous blog essay addressed this subject in a slightly different context: "Snopes, Popes, and Presidents; Believing is Seeing," Dec. 26, 2013. So does this article: Zach Beauchamp, "Why Republicans Don’t Believe In Evolution Anymore," ThinkProgress, Dec. 31, 2013 ("A wealth of research into political psychology shows that people’s partisan affiliations affect their beliefs on basic facts. Republicans are overwhelmingly more likely to think the economy is doing well when Republicans hold the Presidency, and ditto with Democrats when their guy holds the White House. A recent experiment found that even basic math is contaminated by politics; people are much more likely to correctly solve basic math problems when, in context, solving them correctly helps rather than hurts their party.").

Ever wonder why so many Americans believe in religious reality rather than theoretical "science"? Here's how scientists, rejecting God's/Mother Nature's "cold shoulder" reality, try to explain these frigid temperatures with a theory, and in a language, few true believers can even comprehend let alone accept:

"A polar vortex (also known as an Arctic cyclone, sub-polar cyclone, and a circumpolar whirl) is a persistent, large-scale cyclone located near either of a planet's geographical poles. On Earth, the polar vortices are located in the middle and upper troposphere and the stratosphere. They surround the polar highs and lie in the wake of the polar front. These cold-core low-pressure areas strengthen in the winter and weaken in the summer. They usually span . . . 620–1,240 miles in which the air is circulating in a counter-clockwise fashion (in the northern hemisphere). As with other cyclones, their rotation is caused by the Coriolis effect. Within the stratosphere, strategies such as the use of the 4 mb pressure surface, which correlates to the 1200K isentropic surface, located midway up the stratosphere, is used to create climatologies of the feature. Due to model data unreliability, other techniques use the 50 mb pressure surface. Polar cyclones are climatological features that hover near the poles year-round. They are weaker during summer and strongest during winter. Extratropical cyclones that occlude and migrate into higher latitudes create cold-core lows within the polar vortex. Volcanic eruptions in the tropics lead to a stronger polar vortex during the winter for as long as two years afterwards. The strength and position of the cyclone shapes the flow pattern across the hemisphere of its influence. An index which is used in the northern hemisphere to gauge its magnitude is the Arctic oscillation." "Polar vortex," Wikipedia.com.

Yeah, right.
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Thursday, December 26, 2013

Snopes, Popes, and Presidents

December 26, 2013 2:45 p.m.

Believing is Seeing

We can learn more from some recent reports of Pope Francis' activities than what appear to be this Pope's quite sincere concerns and commitments to improving the lot of the poor, and those adversely affected by the consequences of war. Consider the following:
"Pope Francis, celebrating his first Christmas as Roman Catholic leader, on Wednesday [Dec. 25] called on atheists to unite with believers of all religions and work for 'a homemade peace' that can spread across the world. . . . He said that people of other religions were also praying for peace, and - departing from his prepared text - he urged atheists to join forces with believers. 'I invite even non-believers to desire peace. (Join us) with your desire, a desire that widens the heart. Let us all unite, either with prayer or with desire, but everyone, for peace, he said, drawing sustained applause from the crowd.'"
__________

"Pope Francis washed and kissed the feet of a dozen inmates at a juvenile detention center in a Holy Thursday ritual that he celebrated for years as archbishop and is continuing now that he is pope. Two of the 12 were young women . . .."
__________

"Pope Francis announc[ed] that . . . 'the time has come to abandon all intolerance. . . . Even atheists acknowledge the divine. . . . The church no longer believes in a literal hell where people suffer. . . . All religions are true, because they are true in the hearts of all those who believe in them. . . . Our church is big enough for heterosexuals and homosexuals, for the pro-life and the pro-choice! For conservatives and liberals, even communists are welcome and have joined us. We all love and worship the same God. . . . [I]t is my hope that we will have a woman pope one day. . . . Racism today is the ultimate evil in the world. . . . [T]hose who would dare to turn immigrants away, be they legal or undocumented, turn their backs on Christ himself! . . . [B]ecause Muslims, Hindus and African Animists are also made in the very likeness and image of God, to . . . reject them to is to reject God and the Gospel of Christ.'"
__________

"Three homeless men [who] live on the street in the Rome neighborhood just outside the Vatican's walls . . . helped Pope Francis celebrate his 77th birthday Tuesday [Dec. 24] [when they] were invited . . . to attend the Mass, which Francis celebrates daily at the hotel where he lives on Vatican City grounds. [He] also invited his household help to join him in a 'family-like' atmosphere, and he spoke of them one by one during his homily."
__________

In an interview with uCatholic, Archbishop Konrad Krajewski, who serves as 'Almoner of His Holiness,' implied that Pope Francis may be sneaking out of the Vatican at night to personally give money and food to the homeless citizens of Rome. . . . [Krajewski commented} that Francis used to do exactly that as archbishop of Buenos Aires, before he was elected pope. . . . 'As archbishop of Buenos Aires, when he was known as Cardinal Jorge Mario Bergoglio, the future pontiff would go out at night ... to find people, talk with them, or buy them something to eat. He would sit with them and eat with them on the street.' . . . [A]n anonymous source in the church [said] that 'Swiss guards confirmed that the pope has ventured out at night, dressed as a regular priest, to meet with homeless men and women.'”
__________

A Pope, any Pope, is in many ways one of our few world leaders who is given -- or can simply seize -- an ability to speak his or her mind, not only, in Pope Francis' case, to his 1.2 billion followers, but to more billions beyond. When he chooses to use that opportunity to address problems of poverty, inequality and greed, war and peace, appealing to our better angels, he can provide a moral and ethical beacon for all of humankind. And because he communicates primarily, or at least as much, by his actions as by his words, he truly has our attention. (I will leave for another day Church positions he has neither addressed nor given any indication of a likelihood to change.) So, yeah, I'm a fan.

So what more can we learn from these stories beyond what they tell us regarding the character and style of this Pope?

They tell us something about the extent to which "believing is seeing;" that is, what we believe, or want to believe, can have a significant influence on what we perceive.

For Pope Francis fans, like myself, each of those quotations, above, all taken from published sources, has an air of plausibility about it. What he has done so far on behalf of the poor, peace, and opening up the Church has been so mind altering that nothing someone claims he has done seems impossible in that context.

But, alas, two of those five reports are false.

If you haven't already guessed which ones they are, they are repeated at the bottom of this blog essay with their sources and rebuttals.

Snopes.com is a wonderful online service for checking the truth of the "urban legends, folklore, myths, rumors, and misinformation" that circle the global Internet each day. It was particularly useful when the anti-President-Obama forces were circulating false accusations regarding his faith, American citizenship, and anything else they could come up with. See, "Snopes and 'What We Know That Ain't So,'" Aug. 2, 2012.

Our Republican friends (yes, we have some) would pass such charges along to their e-mailing lists, believing any bad news about Obama as readily as I believe any inspiring news about Pope Francis. We'd usually check them out with Snopes, and like as not find that they were totally false. Sometimes we'd refer the sending party to the Snopes report, and other times we'd decide it was hopeless.

But the point is not about Republican assaults on our President. The point is that we're all subject to such manipulation. There is some research and data on this. Even those trained and working in the sciences are significantly more likely to make accurate mathematical calculations when the data supports their hypotheses than when it does not.

What this Pope and Snopes have shown me is that the manipulation we experience from our religious, political and ideological beliefs and convictions is not limited to our disinclination to critically evaluate assertions regarding people and things that we hate. They can also manipulate our judgment when evaluating positive assertions about the people and things we love or admire.

Now here is what Paul Harvey would have called, "the rest of the story."

__________

"Pope Francis, celebrating his first Christmas as Roman Catholic leader, on Wednesday [Dec. 25] called on atheists to unite with believers of all religions and work for 'a homemade peace' that can spread across the world. . . . He said that people of other religions were also praying for peace, and - departing from his prepared text - he urged atheists to join forces with believers. 'I invite even non-believers to desire peace. (Join us) with your desire, a desire that widens the heart. Let us all unite, either with prayer or with desire, but everyone, for peace, he said, drawing sustained applause from the crowd.'"

-- Philip Pullella, "Atheists, work with us for peace, Pope says on Christmas," Reuters/The Gazette, Dec. 26, 2013, p. A4. There is some question as to what the Pope actually said, from the prepared text and during extemporaneous remarks, and even more question as to what he meant. But this is a relatively accurate story.
__________

"Pope Francis washed and kissed the feet of a dozen inmates at a juvenile detention center in a Holy Thursday ritual that he celebrated for years as archbishop and is continuing now that he is pope. Two of the 12 were young women . . .."

-- Nicole Winfield,"Pope Francis washes feet of young detainees in ritual," AP/USA Today, March 28, 2013. This story seems to be entirely true.
__________

"Pope Francis announc[ed] that . . . 'the time has come to abandon all intolerance. . . . Even atheists acknowledge the divine. . . . The church no longer believes in a literal hell where people suffer. . . . All religions are true, because they are true in the hearts of all those who believe in them. . . . Our church is big enough for heterosexuals and homosexuals, for the pro-life and the pro-choice! For conservatives and liberals, even communists are welcome and have joined us. We all love and worship the same God. . . . [I]t is my hope that we will have a woman pope one day. . . . Racism today is the ultimate evil in the world. . . . [T]hose who would dare to turn immigrants away, be they legal or undocumented, turn their backs on Christ himself! . . . [B]ecause Muslims, Hindus and African Animists are also made in the very likeness and image of God, to . . . reject them to is to reject God and the Gospel of Christ.'"

-- The quote is taken from, "Pope Francis Condemns Racism And Declares That 'All Religions Are True,'” Diversity Chronicle, Dec. 5, 2013. This story, which went viral around the Internet, is false. See, "Pope Francis Declares All Religions Are True," Snopes.com, Dec. 22, 2013.
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"Three homeless men [who] live on the street in the Rome neighborhood just outside the Vatican's walls . . . helped Pope Francis celebrate his 77th birthday Tuesday [Dec. 24] [when they] were invited . . . to attend the Mass, which Francis celebrates daily at the hotel where he lives on Vatican City grounds. [He] also invited his household help to join him in a 'family-like' atmosphere, and he spoke of them one by one during his homily."

-- Frances D'Emilio, "Pope shares his birthday breakfast with homeless," Associated Press, Dec. 17, 2013. This appears to be a true story, unless the three men in this photo who are not the Pope are just actors. [Photo credit: L'Osservatore Romano, The Vatican.]
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In an interview with uCatholic, Archbishop Konrad Krajewski, who serves as 'Almoner of His Holiness,' implied that Pope Francis may be sneaking out of the Vatican at night to personally give money and food to the homeless citizens of Rome. . . . [Krajewski commented} that Francis used to do exactly that as archbishop of Buenos Aires, before he was elected pope. . . . 'As archbishop of Buenos Aires, when he was known as Cardinal Jorge Mario Bergoglio, the future pontiff would go out at night ... to find people, talk with them, or buy them something to eat. He would sit with them and eat with them on the street.' . . . [A]n anonymous source in the church [said] that 'Swiss guards confirmed that the pope has ventured out at night, dressed as a regular priest, to meet with homeless men and women.'”

-- Eric Brown, "Is Pope Francis Sneaking Out Of The Vatican At Night To Give Money To The Homeless?," International Business Times," Dec. 3, 2013. It certainly sounds like it might be true. But see, David Gibson, "Pope Francis sneaks out of the Vatican? Maybe not, but he wouldn’t be the first," Religion News Service, Dec. 3, 2013 ("Vatican officials say reports that Pope Francis has been slipping out at night to visit the homeless in Rome are 'simply not true,' though that hasn’t stopped the stories from capturing the public imagination. That’s probably because such tales seem right in line with Francis’ unconventional and pastoral style.")

And that last line is the point of this blog essay.
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Tuesday, December 17, 2013

Judge Leon: NSA Surveillance Unconstitutional

December 17, 2013, 3:00 p.m., with December 27, 2013, 5:00 p.m., update regarding ACLU v. Clapper

UPDATE: Today [Dec. 27] another U.S. District Court's decision (ACLU v. Clapper) is being described as contrary to the District Court decision that prompted this original blog essay (Klayman v. Obama). (See the bottom of this blog essay for citations and links.)

To characterize these two opinions as being opposite, or in conflict, with regard to the Fourth Amendment and the Supreme Court's decision in Smith v. Maryland, 442 U.S. 735 (1979)(discussed in the original blog essay, below), is in my opinion to fail to grasp the significance of the sub-head on that blog essay ("When Difference of Degree Becomes Difference of Kind"). (On the other hand, if their respective U.S. Court of Appeals both affirm, or both reverse, these lower court opinions, there will then be a sufficient "conflict in the circuits" to give the Supreme Court that justification for taking the cases, if it wishes, given the conflict in their ultimate outcomes.)

Both judges agree that what the NSA is doing implicates the Fourth Amendment. They agree on the wording of the Fourth Amendment. They both agree that they need to deal with the Smith case. They both agree regarding what the facts were in Smith. They both agree as to the "holding" of Smith. They both agree that it is the Supreme Court, not U.S. District Court judges, that should be deciding whether to overrule Supreme Court opinions or not (Judge Pauley expressly; Judge Leon we can assume). Where they disagree is whether the facts and holding of Smith control the outcome of the facts before those courts in Klayman (Judge Leon) and Clapper (Judge Pauley).

Judge Pauley's sketchy and conclusory Fourth Amendment discussion is primarily limited to portions of pp. 42-44 in his 54-page opinion. He argues, in effect, that "telephone meta data (1979)" is the same as "telephone meta data (2013)," 34 years and a technological and surveillance revolution later.

Judge Leon noted the Supreme Court's struggling with the impact of technology on Fourth Amendment rights. As I described Judge Leon's analysis, below, "[in] U.S. v. Jones (2012), . . . the Supreme Court distinguished the facts of that case (using a GPS device to trace Jones' movements for a month, which it found violated his "reasonable expectations of privacy") from U.S. v. Knotts (1983) (an earlier case in which the use of lesser technology, for a shorter time, was found acceptable)."

"Aha," Judge Pauley seems to have said to himself with regard to Jones, before writing in response to Judge Leon: "But the Supreme Court did not overrule Smith." To which he adds, quoting from another Supreme Court decision, "[T]he Court of Appeals should . . . leave[e] to th[e Supreme] Court the prerogative of overruling its own decisions."

Of course, both of these assertions are irrelevant if no court is engaged in "overruling" anything.

What Judge Pauley fails to note is (1) as I asked and then answered, below, "Has Judge Leon 'overruled' Smith? Not really. He has neither the power nor the need to do so. He is simply saying 'the surveillance program now before me is so different from a simple pen register that Smith is of little value in assessing whether the Bulk Telephony Metadata Program constitutes a Fourth Amendment search . . ..,'" and (2) that the Supreme Court may have been using the same analysis in U.S. v. Jones as Judge Leon was using in Klayman. That is, the Court's failure to overrule Smith in Jones could mean either of two things: (a) it could have, as Judge Pauley believes, failed to overrule Smith because it believed it was both still good law and was controlling of facts such as those before the District Courts in Klayman and Clapper, or (b) it could have applied Judge Leon's reasoning, and failed to overrule Smith because there was no valid reason to apply Smith's 1979 "apples" to Jones's 2013 "oranges." The holding of Smith, limited as it must be to its facts, is simply irrelevant in addressing the vastly different facts before the courts in Klayman and Clapper. I believe that (b) is the far more likely explanation.

Much appellate court practice, and the writing of appellate court opinions, turns on "distinguishing" cases -- as first year law students soon discover. Both Smith and Knotts can remain good law -- in situations involving no more than the limited facts they presented -- without applying them to cases involving the very different facts in Klayman and Clapper. That does not mean that they have been "overruled." They have simply been limited to their facts; they have been "distinguished."

It may very well be that Judge Pauley also could have found Smith inapplicable to the facts in Clapper and still reached the same conclusion. But he did not.
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Here's what some others are saying:

Editorial, "This Week, Mass Surveillance Wins,"
New York Times, Dec. 28, 2013
(excerpted highlights)

"Has the . . . mass collection of . . . phone records [helped] prevent terrorist attacks?

No, according to . . . a panel of legal and intelligence experts . . ..

Judge William Pauley III . . . came to the opposite conclusion . . . in a deeply troubling decision . . ..

Judge Pauley . . . disregards the concerns central to the presidential panel’s report and [Judge Leon's] ruling . . ..

Judge Leon found the Smith decision . . . inapplicable to a daily, indiscriminate sweep of hundreds of millions of phone records. Judge Pauley . . . said its logic still applied.

Judge Pauley’s opinion is perplexing in its near-total acceptance of the claim by the government that it almost always acts in accordance with the law . . . that shows an alarming lack of skepticism . . . in light of the testimony of James Clapper Jr., . . . who falsely [said] the N.S.A. was not collecting any [data on] millions of Americans.

It is also incorrect to say, as Judge Pauley does, that there is “no evidence” that the government has used the phone data for anything other than terrorism investigations. An inspector general . . . revealed at least a dozen instances in which government employees used the databases for personal purposes."
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"[T]his decision . . . misinterprets the relevant statutes, understates the privacy implications of the government’s surveillance and misapplies a narrow and outdated precedent to read away core constitutional protections."

-- Jameel Jaffer, an ACLU lawyer (quoted here).
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What follows, below, is what I wrote Dec. 17 regarding Judge Leon's Klayman decison:
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When Difference of Degree Becomes Difference of Kind
Wolfgang Schmidt, a one-time lieutenant colonel in the former East German secret police and security/spy agency has said of our NSA, "'You know, for us, this would have been a dream come true.' . . . [H]is department was limited to tapping 40 phones at a time, he recalled. . . . He finds breathtaking the idea that the U.S. government receives daily reports on the cellphone usage of millions of Americans and can monitor the Internet traffic of millions more. 'So much information, on so many people,' he said." Matthew Schofield, "Memories of Stasi color Germans’ view of U.S. surveillance programs," McClatchy Washington Bureau, June 26, 2013.

He makes an important point: "a difference to be a difference has to make a difference." A difference of degree may be a difference that makes no difference. A difference of kind does make a difference. . . .

When the Stasi's wiretapping ability went from one wiretap to 40, that was a difference. It made a difference. But not that much difference. You clandestinely listen in on one person's conversations, you listen in on 40. But when the NSA goes from a constitutional presumption of one search warrant at a time, for one person at a time, with probable cause, approved by a reviewing judge, to a general search warrant that entitles them to spy on every American simultaneously, just because they have the technology that makes it possible, that is a difference that makes an enormous difference.

-- "Surveillance: Differences of Degree and of Kind," July 3, 2013
Takeaway: Thirty-four years ago the Supreme Court said it was OK for law enforcement to get one person's phone records over a short time without using a search warrant (Smith v. Maryland); Federal Judge Leon rules that times and technology have changed enough that Smith no longer justifies NSA's sweeping, constant collection of all Americans' phone records.

At least one federal district judge has now declared the National Security Agency's (NSA's) surveillance of our cell phone usage ("metadata") to be a violation of our Constitutional, Fourth Amendment rights (Klayman v. Obama).

Since The Guardian broke the Snowden revelations earlier this year, there have been a number of essays in this blog regarding the issues. [For links to the opinion, related stories, and prior blog essays, see the bottom of this blog essay.]

Let's start withe the language of the Fourth Amendment: "The right of the people to be secure in their persons, houses, papers, and effects, against unreasonable searches and seizures, shall not be violated, and no Warrants shall issue, but upon probable cause, supported by Oath or affirmation, and particularly describing the place to be searched, and the persons or things to be seized." U.S. Const. amend. IV. It was a response, in part, to the British use of so-called "general search warrants."
[G]eneral search warrants authorized the British to search whomever they wished, wherever they wished, whenever they wished, for whatever they wished, with or without any reasonable basis for suspicion of wrongdoing. No specific search warrant. No identified person or place. No "oath or affirmation" of the "probable cause." . . .

[T]he NSA’s surveillance of the American people today is the electronic equivalent of one of the grievances that drove our founding fathers to the revolution we commemorate every July 4th -– those British “general search warrants.”

The NSA is engaged in the unreasonable search of all of us, without even a suspicion we have done anything wrong, let alone probable cause, without specifying where they will look or what they are looking for. And so it is that, 224 years later, an ever-increasing number of Americans -– now nearly 50% -- again believe that government surveillance has gone too far, notwithstanding the threats of terrorism.
"The Future of Surveillance and How to Stop It," August 4, 2013.
A prohibition on "unreasonable searches" requires not one, but two, findings: (1) that the search was unreasonable, but also (2) that there was, in fact, a "search." [Moreover, the person complaining must have had both (a) an "expectation of privacy," and (b) one that most people would consider to have been "reasonable."]

For example, . . . Most people would not expect that which they have left in plain sight from the street would be legally protected from being seen by passersby. And if they did have such an expectation, most people would not consider that expectation to have been reasonable.

So far, OK. But we're left with a couple of problems. (1) In a world of ubiquitous surveillance video cameras, mail covers, collection of all phone call meta-data, and comparable intrusions on privacy does a "reasonable expectation of privacy" provide us any protection? (2) The courts have said that when you give information to a third party, such as a bank, phone company, or Internet service provider, you thereby lose any expectation of privacy.

This is the legal argument of the businesses that are collecting information about our lives, and the government agencies that then retrieve the information from them (information that the government might not have been able to acquire constitutionally without their involvement).

It is my opinion that both problems (ubiquitous surveillance and third-party transactions) require rethinking in this high tech age. [1] If you hold information you consider to be private, and you turn it over to a newspaper reporter (who makes no promise of protecting your privacy), you can't really complain when it ends up in the local paper. [2] On the other hand, we do protect the privacy of information you hand over to your doctor, lawyer, or cleric. [3] [T]here needs to be a third category these days. The information you necessarily have to provide a credit card company, for example, may not be entitled to the protection accorded information you give your doctor. But neither, in my opinion, should it be accorded no more protection than what you hand over to a newspaper reporter, neighbor, or colleague. I believe there is, in fact, a reasonableness in demanding a level of trust in our relationships, business or otherwise, that are necessities in our economy -- such as banking and phones. We need these services. We are not gratuitously handing them private information; it is a necessity that we do so in order for them to provide the service. It is given to them for a specific and limited purpose.
"Surveillance: Differences of Degree and of Kind," July 3, 2013.

The Supreme Court needs to rethink the Fourth Amendment's protection of our privacy in a post-cyber world. The mere fact that today's technology means that no American can have a "reasonable expectation of privacy" anywhere, at any time, requires that standard -- and its deadly presumption regarding records shared with third parties -- be discarded.
"Law's Losing Race With Technology," June 7, 2013.

It's always reassuring to have one's instincts and intuition proved correct. As expose after expose hit the media earlier this year, it seemed to me that what the NSA was doing was a violation of both the letter and the spirit of the Fourth Amendment. It was troublesome that those charged with congressional oversight of the NSA, and those within the Obama Administration, of all people, thought -- or at least were saying -- that there was something wrong with the analysis that I, and others, had put forward.

Now there is at least one federal judge who thinks we got it right. There will be more federal judges -- and ultimately Supreme Court justices -- to express their own views on the issues. Undoubtedly, some will disagree with Judge Leon. But his analysis is a strong beginning.

His opinion runs 68 double-spaced pages with 71 substantive footnotes. Klayman v. Obama, ___ F.Supp.3d ___ (D.D.C. 2013), http://s3.documentcloud.org/documents/901810/klaymanvobama215.pdf [Judge Richard J. Leon, Dec. 16, 2013].

The plaintiffs sought a preliminary injunction prohibiting the NSA's collection of their phone metadata, relying on an Administrative Procedure Act (APA) remedy and the violation of their constitutional rights under the Fourth Amendment. The judge concludes they have the requisite "standing" to proceed as parties, that Congress has precluded his jurisdiction to address their APA claim, but that it has not precluded his jurisdiction to consider their constitutional claim, for which they have met the threshold requirements justifying a preliminary injunction, which he grants -- what non-lawyers would describe as in effect telling the NSA to "stop it." Judge Leon then adds, "However, in view of the significant national security interests at stake in this case and the novelty of the constitutional issues, I will stay my order pending appeal." So, on the one hand, the plaintiffs won; on the other hand, they will not enjoy what they have won until the case has weaved its way through an appeal to the U.S. Court of Appeals for the D.C. Circuit -- and possibly the United States Supreme Court.

A discussion of these issues, and the FISA law and procedures, consume the first 43 pages of the opinion.

At that point, under the heading, "The Collection and Analysis of Telephony Metadata Constitutes a Search," is where the constitutional analysis begins -- one that accords with the earlier analysis of myself and others.

Here's some brief background. The Fourth Amendment prohibits the government from engaging in "unreasonable searches," thereby logically requiring two findings: (1) that there was a "search," and (2) that it was "unreasonable." The Supreme Court once gave the Fourth Amendment something of a anti-trespass interpretation, as it only keeps Americans "secure in their persons, houses, papers, and effects." (Tapping a defendant's phone, without a warrant, while at a distance from his property, was found not to violate the Fourth Amendment, Olmstead v. U.S. (1928).) By 1967, in Katz v. U.S., the Court held that "the Fourth Amendment protects people, not places" (in that instance a person inside a public phone booth). Justice Harlan, in concurring, wrote that "there is a twofold requirement, first that a person have exhibited an actual (subjective) expectation of privacy and, second, that the expectation be one that society is prepared to recognize as 'reasonable'" (the source of the "reasonable expectation of privacy" standard).

The problem, in the context of NSA collection of every American's mobile phone metadata, is that the Court has also held that once someone knowingly provides information to a third party, they can no longer claim a "reasonable expectation of privacy" with regard to that information. This was found to apply to the information bank customers give to their banks regarding their checking accounts, U.S. v. Miller (1976), and more to the point in this Klayman case, the information telephone customers provide their carriers (what was then the monopolist AT&T) regarding the phone numbers they call, or from which they receive calls. Smith v. Maryland (1979).

As I wrote this past June, contrasting the 1970s with 2013,
Today the combination of electronics, digitization, the Internet, computers and telecommunication result in your sharing a large portion of your "papers" with others. Neither librarians nor store owners used to keep records of what books or other merchandise you examined. Today you share a record of every search with Google, a record of every product you examine on a company's Web site, your Kindle book library with Amazon, your music choices with iTunes. You've shared your email and text messages with some company, your photos with Picasa and Facebook, your videos with YouTube, your documents with Dropbox or some other firm that offers you real estate in their "cloud." In addition to your bank, "your" financial records are held by your credit card companies, airlines, rental car companies, hotels, and many local merchants.
"Law's Losing Race With Technology," June 7, 2013.

And that is essentially what Judge Leon had to say about the Smith case.
When do present-day circumstances -- the evolutions in the Government's surveillance capabilities, citizens' phone habits, and the relationship between the NSA and telecom companies -- become so thoroughly unlike those considered by the Supreme Court thirty-four years ago that a precedent like Smith simply does not apply?
Klayman, pp. 43-45. He then responds to his own question, "The answer, unfortunately for the Government, is now." p. 45.

Has the Supreme Court ever made this kind of technological distinction before? He finds an example in U.S. v. Jones (2012), in which the Supreme Court distinguished the facts of that case (using a GPS device to trace Jones' movements for a month, which it found violated his "reasonable expectations of privacy") from U.S. v. Knotts (1983) (an earlier case in which the use of lesser technology for a shorter time was found acceptable). pp. 45-46.

Smith involved law enforcement using "pen register" and "trap and trace" techniques that collect limited data (numbers called, or calling), from one phone, during a limited time. What the NSA is doing involves more data (e.g., length of call, and possibly cell phone locations), from every telephone in America (and beyond), continuously (with daily updates), which it stores for five years, and can search in ways undreamed of when Smith was decided (1979).

Has Judge Leon "overruled" Smith? Not really. He has neither the power nor the need to do so. He is simply saying "the surveillance program now before me is so different from a simple pen register that Smith is of little value in assessing whether the Bulk Telephony Metadata Program constitutes a Fourth Amendment search. . . . I believe that . . . [it] almost certainly does violate a reasonable expectation of privacy. . . . Count the phones at the bus stop, in a restaurant, or around the table at a work meeting or any given occasion. Thirty-four years ago, none of those phones would have been there. Thirty-four years ago, city streets were lined with pay phones. Thirty-four years ago, when people wanted to send 'text messages,' they wrote letters and attached postage stamps." pp. 47, 52.

The tidal wave that's swept over us during this Century's technological tsunami has changed everything from family relations to foreign relations, from the way we do business to the way we teach school, from the nature of crime to the nature of war. The necessary response from lawyers and legislators has been lagging far behind what is needed. That is the context -- and the contrast -- in which Judge Leon's Klayman decision takes on its powerful and encouraging significance.

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LINKS TO OPINION AND RELATED STORIES

Klayman v. Obama, ___ F.Supp.3d ___ (D.D.C. 2013), http://s3.documentcloud.org/documents/901810/klaymanvobama215.pdf [Judge Richard J. Leon, Dec. 16, 2013]. Charlie Savage, "Judge Questions Legality of N.S.A. Phone Records," New York Times, Dec. 17, 2013, p. A1. [Photo credit: Jim Lo Scalzo/European Pressphoto Agency/New York Times]

And see, Sheryl Gay Stolberg, "‘Passionate’ Judge Has Record of Wrestling With Thorny Issues, and the U.S. Government," New York Times, Dec. 17, 2013, p. A22; and Michael D. Shear, "Score One for the Legal Thorn in Government’s Side; Larry Klayman, Plaintiff in N.S.A. Case, Savors Victory," New York Times, Dec. 17, 2013.

Since The Guardian broke the Snowden revelations earlier this year, there have been a number of essays in this blog regarding the issues. See, e.g., "Lavabit Confronts 'Complicit or Close?' Levison Closes," August 9, 2013; "A Simple Matter to Drag People Along," August 6, 2013; "The Future of Surveillance and How to Stop It," August 4, 2013; "Surveillance: Differences of Degree and of Kind," July 3, 2013; "Shooting the Messenger; Should Government Be Able to Keep Its Abuses Secret?," June 11, 2013; "From Zazi to Stasi; Trusting a Government That Doesn't Trust You," June 9, 2013; "Law's Losing Race With Technology," June 7, 2013.

[Cites/links for the Dec. 27/28 Update:] Today [Dec. 27] the U.S. District Court for the Southern District of N.Y.'s decision in ACLU v. Clapper, ___ F.Supp.3d ___ (S.D.N.Y. 2013), http://www.nysd.uscourts.gov/cases/show.php?db=special&id=364 [Judge William H. Pauley, Dec. 27, 2013], is being perceived as contrary to Klayman, the District Court decision that prompted this original blog essay. Adam Liptak and Michael S. Schmidt, "Judge Upholds N.S.A.’s Bulk Collection of Data on Calls," New York Times, Dec. 28, 2013, p. A1 ("the latest contribution to an extraordinary debate among courts and a presidential review group about how to balance security and privacy in the era of big data").

Klayman v. Obama, ___ F.Supp.3d ___ (D.D.C. 2013), http://s3.documentcloud.org/documents/901810/klaymanvobama215.pdf [Judge Richard J. Leon, Dec. 16, 2013]. Charlie Savage, "Judge Questions Legality of N.S.A. Phone Records," New York Times, Dec. 17, 2013, p. A1.
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Tuesday, December 10, 2013

Gas Tax Critics: A Response

December 10, 2013, 9:38 a.m.

What's the Alternative?

In two blog essays and one newspaper column I have advocated that we get on with the business of tending to our deteriorating roads and bridges -- and that we continue to use the gasoline tax as a way of funding the projects. "Paying By The Mile Is A Terrible Idea," Sept. 25, 2013; Nicholas Johnson, "Think Long and Hard Before Diluting the Gasoline Tax," Iowa City Press-Citizen, Dec. 5, 2013, p. A7; "Gasoline Tax Is Our Friend," Dec. 5, 2013.

There are, of course, those who disagree with this approach. Sometimes I have responded, online when the comments are made in response to a newspaper's online article, or as appended remarks to the three items linked above. Because I continue to believe these are important issues, and those who seek to enter into a dialogue are entitled to some kind of response, I have reproduced, and added to, my responses in this new blog essay.

I'll begin with a Letter to the Editor in this morning's [Dec. 10] Press-Citizen regarding my Dec. 5 Press-Citizen column, linked above.

Taxpayers Aren't Getting Enough Bang for Their Buck
Steve Hufferd, Iowa City
Iowa City Press-Citizen, Dec. 10, 2013, p. A7

On Dec. 5, while advocating an increase in gasoline taxes, Nicholas Johnson makes the typical liberal error in assuming that increasing taxes will cure all the ills in the infrastructure. He would, I'm sure, say the same regarding taxes to fund education even while taxes spent on education has accelerated even while academic performance per student has plummeted.

We conservatives have no problem with taxes per se. The problem we have is with the plethora of irresponsible abuses of the public coffers. Where is the evidence that the gasoline taxes collected over the past half century has been spent wisely? A bit of transparency would be appreciated and might have a positive effect on the public resistance to tax increases. Of course, transparency could also work against any prospect of tax increases. With the public trust of government officials reaching new lows, it's not the best of times for politicians to be saying, "trust me with an increase in tax dollars."

Tax payers do not feel they are getting sufficient "bang for the buck." There are ways of getting big jobs done with very little. It's called management. The best example of the lack of it has been the current launching of Obamacare.

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Steve Hufferd might be surprised to find the degree to which I agree with him -- as explained in these italicized comments, below:

I don't think that "increasing taxes will cure all the ills in the infrastructure [or] education." I don't recall ever saying that "the gasoline taxes [have] been spent wisely." (As a local school board member I often made the point in meetings, and newspaper columns, that some reforms both cost less and produce better results. As Hufferd puts it, "there are ways of getting big jobs done with very little.")

As a public official, and as a one-time administrative law professor, I have advocated more, not less, transparency in government.

I agree that "trust of government officials [is] reaching new lows" and that "trust me" no longer works.

I certainly share his commitment to better "management" -- and have ever since my term as U.S. Maritime Administrator during the mid-1960s (and throughout my term as a school board member). During President Lyndon Johnson's Administration we actually had a "War on Waste" program that saved taxpayers billions of dollars. (My contribution was working to reduce maritime subsidies.) Johnson symbolized the program by walking around the White House turning off needless lights -- thereby earning the nickname of "Lightbulb Lyndon." (I agree with Hufferd's criticism, and have said, that the rollout of Healthcare.gov was a classic example of poor management and oversight. "Exclusive: Insider Explains Healthcare.gov Fiasco; From 'Integration Testing' to 'Full End-to-End Testing,'" Nov. 2, 2013.)

So where do we part company?

(1) We have transportation needs. Unsafe bridges and deteriorating roads need to be fixed.

(2) There are limited options. (a) Continued crumble. We could continue to let the roads and bridges crumble, and build more detours around them. (b) Private ownership. We could sell them off to for-profit corporations -- with the tolls for driving far exceeding any gasoline taxes. (c) Different taxes. We could keep the roads public, but use different taxes: sales, property, or income -- shifting the entire burden away from the "user fee" and on to everyone. (d) Gas tax. We could continue to pay with the user fee called the gasoline tax -- hopefully, while applying Hufferd's and my focus on triage and "do we really need it," innovative cost-cutting, sound management, oversight, and increased transparency.

(3) Gas tax preference. Of these options, my preference is (d), Gas tax -- for reasons laid out in the Press-Citizen column, "Think Long and Hard Before Diluting the Gasoline Tax," Dec. 5. (Admittedly, non-drivers also benefit from our road network; thus, while I would not advocate some modest funding from income tax revenue, it would be difficult to argue persuasively against it.)

(4) We're all at fault. No institution (or individual) is free of the kind of inefficiencies, waste and abuses Hufferd and I would like to remedy -- whether corporations, the military, schools and universities, hospitals, non-profit organizations, religious institutions -- even political parties and their candidates' campaigns. It is misplaced to suggest that most of the fault, when it comes to government, falls on liberals or conservatives or libertarians or greens. Some are more willing to overlook waste in the military (billions of dollars in Iraq and Afghanistan that can't be accounted for); others less likely to come down on popular social programs. Corporate executives of companies dependent upon government contracts may complain about taxes, while spending millions on lobbyists and campaign contributions to get special tax breaks and other special interest benefits in return. (I've run numbers on the "return on investment" from campaign contributions. It's between 1000-to-one and 2000-to-one; give one million, get back one billion -- in the form of such things as contracts, tax breaks, antitrust exemptions, tariffs and other price supports.)

Local constituents, and their elected officials who campaign on reducing taxes, are among the first to squeal when a local defense contractor may lose a lucrative contract because the weapons system it's profiting from isn't wanted by the Pentagon, or just doesn't work.

So I don't think it is accurate, fair, or constructive to try to address these problems by demonizing one political party, or political movement, over another. On that Hufferd and I really do disagree.

Of course we don't want to pay for "bridges to nowhere" (a one-time Republican proposal), and we do want to have efficient and effective management of such necessary maintence projects as we may have, selected under rational systems of priority. Having said that, we're still left with the issue of how to pay for them. For the reasons I've outlined, I continue to believe the gasoline tax is the best way to do it.


Here are some additional criticisms -- and my responses.

The first two comments, below, appear on the Patch reference to the Sept. 25, 2013, blog essay, referenced immediately above. The next four were comments on the Editorial, "Gas Tax Increase StillBest Option Left Standing," Iowa City Press-Citizen, Dec. 1, 2013.

My responses, in italics, follow each.

Johnny Johnson December 03, 2013 at 05:46 PM Hey why not? Energy prices consume a far greater share of income from middle class than the rich. Make those working fools cough up more and skip lunch to pay for it.

Johnny Johnson (no relation) is, of course, correct: as a percentage of their income, the poor and middle class pay more for gasoline (and its tax) than the rich. (And this disparity is exacerbated by the poor often having to rely on older, low gas mileage cars in less good condition, and possibly longer commutes.) But this could also be said about everything else in the marketplace (e.g., food, clothing, automobiles, housing, fines for speeding) -- with the exception of various discounts offered to "seniors" and very young children (categories not directly related to income) and public subsidies for food and housing for the poor. In my opinion, the most effective and easily administered solutions are to raise the minimum wage to "living wage" levels in the private sector, and get closer to full-employment policies by making the government the employer of last resort in the public sector -- rather than to single out the gasoline tax as a single item. -- N.J.

Brian December 04, 2013 at 07:16 PM The State needs to cut costs, not raise revenue. Do the inefficiencies bother anyone else? Look at how many times I-80 has been redone Between Dodge Street & Coral Ridge last 10 years. What about the insane waste of money to replace the barrier between East & West with a "stained faux rock face". That was 1,000,000/mile. Just the labor to haul the existing barrier away required over 100 semi tractor trailers. Did anyone notice the stain faded in ONE WEEK? It wasn't UV stable. The State should be able to fund projects with existing gas tax.

Here again, Brian may be right (I'm not familiar with his facts). Everything possible should be done by those managing projects -- whether private sector or public sector -- to do jobs as efficiently and effectively as possible, at the lowest cost consistent with the necessary quality. Clearly, this is not a problem limited to public projects -- think about the BP Gulf oil rig disaster, the Massey Coal Mine disaster, the millions of cars and other products (including food) that must be recalled. But if we are going to continue to have a highway network that is smooth and safe we are going to have to continue to spend money on it. Trying to insure that money is spent as efficiently as possible is an essential goal; cancelling all highway projects because some are unwise or wasteful is not an option. -- N.J.

[I was one of those who commented on the Press-Citizen's editorial:] Nicholas Johnson · Top Commenter No one questions the need for roads and bridges in sufficiently good condition that cars and trucks can move safely and at reasonable speeds. Few question that public construction, maintenance and funding is preferable to for-profit corporate ownership and operation. The only remaining issue is what is the best formula for raising sufficient revenue -- and most fairly allocating the burden among Americans. As today's editorial explains, the gasoline tax wins that one hands down. For even more discussion of the reasons why, along with additional benefits of this approach, see "Paying By The Mile Is A Terrible Idea; The Gasoline Tax Is Our Friend," http://fromdc2iowa.blogspot.com/2013/09/paying-by-mile-is-terrible-idea.html December 2 at 7:49am

Mike Thayer · Follow · Top Commenter · Works at Coralville Courier This is intellectually lazy thinking by the PC. It's easy to say, "Raise taxes." But the REAL answer is finding areas in other state government spending where $215 million can be cut and re-allocated to roads/infrastructure. December 2 at 8:49am

Here again, I agree that everything possible should be done to evaluate taxpayer-funded federal, state, county, and city projects. Are they worth doing at all? What's the benefit-cost analysis? Those that have public support, still make sense, and that return multiples of what they cost should probably receive more money than they presently get. Some are probably funded at a more or less appropriate level. Those that have outlived their usefulness should be investigated further to see if they should be closed out. To put the cost of highway maintenance on all Iowa taxpayers -- rather than just those who drive and buy gas -- is, of course, an option, and one that some people in addition to Mike Thayer are advocating. For the reasons laid out in the column that begins this blog essay, I believe the multiple benefits and rationale for funding roads from a gasoline tax is a better option. -- N.J.

Lynn Griebahn Jr. · Top Commenter · University of Iowa Yes! someone needs to be the adult here, democrats NEVER think about the waste in spending, December 2 at 11:21am

As a wise wag once put it, "'Always' and 'never' are two words we should always remember never to use." Some Democrats and Republicans seem to care more about wise use of public money than other Democrats and Republicans -- a bloated defense budget, earmarks and tax breaks for special interests. Members of both parties seem somewhat reluctant to specify which specific programs they would eliminate. Indeed, they are so fond of suggesting that the elimination of "waste, fraud and abuse" will solve our budget challenges (when of course, however desirable, that's not the magic solution) that it's always seemed to me they think and talk about "waste" (in general) rather than "projects value" (in particular) far more than they should. -- N.J.

Michael Hoback · Top Commenter The feds are also considering raising their gas tax using the same plea as Iowa. The DOT has used the same claim of shortfalls, every legislative session for at least the twenty years I have been paying attention. The fact is that if you gave them every tax dollar in the state they would still want more. December 4 at 10:45am

On the assumption this is true, it is a call for oversight and better management -- something I certainly support. The more we can conduct a triage among potential road building and repair projects by engineers on the basis of rational analysis and professional judgment, and the less we can rely on politicians choosing projects on the basis of contractors' campaign contributions and short term construction jobs for their constituents, the better. -- N.J.

The following comment was posted to the online version of my Dec. 5 Press-Citizen column:

Michael Hoback · Top Commenter
Your opinion sounds very reasonable but bitter experience demonstrates that increased taxes only fuels bigger government. December 6 at 3:18pm

My response would be similar to many of those above. See, e.g., my numbered paragraphs (1) through (4) in the response to Steve Hufferd's Letter, at the top of this blog essay, and to Mr. Hoback's other comment, immediately above this one.

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And my son, Sherman, has sent the following comment regarding this blog essay by email:

If you do a follow-up you might touch on 2 related topics:

1) Tolls and HOT lanes (aka "Lexus Lanes").

2) Gas tax refunds/credits for poor and working class folks, as well as those who must drive lower mileage vehicles and/or long distances out of necessity.

WRT #1 -- tolls and Lexus lanes are grossly regressive and, I would say, un-American. Since when do we segregate users of public infrastructure into the "haves" and "have-nots"? Our parks, libraries, and schools are available for everyone to use and enjoy. The same used to be true of our public roads and Interstate highway system. Not any more. Now it's 'pay up or shut up'.

Charging an extra fee or toll to use certain lanes on a public road -- particularly an exorbitant per mile 'HOT lane' charge that is admittedly _designed_ to keep out the 'riff-raff' (aka the 99%) -- is outrageous. Our highways are not some exclusive private dinner club. They should be open for ALL to use. Ordinary folks who cannot afford to pay the fees should not have to sit in traffic for hours and breathe exhaust fumes while the wealthy speed past them in their German luxury sedans. If the infrastructure is inadequate it should be improved. HOT/Lexus lanes are an elitist band-aid, and one that takes pressure off of legislators to actually _do_ something about roads with inadequate capacity. If the rich & powerful can buy their way out of traffic jams then they'll be happy and not press for road improvements.

OT/Lexus lanes are the equivalent of having two (2) sections in public libraries and/or schools. One section of the library for the well-healed who can afford to pay a user fee with shiny new computers and an extensive collection of books, comfy chairs, plenty of staff, etc, and the other just a bare-bones barely adequate room with old slow computers and maybe some box fans instead of A/C in the summer. Or a school split into two sections -- one with some classrooms that have a new computer for every kid, a teacher for every 10 students, and an indoor olympic size swimming pool vs. another section with classes of 30+ and some old textbooks on the other side of the building -- for the unwashed masses, the kids from poor and working class families.

Tolls and Lexus lanes are completely unacceptable. They are immoral and should be eliminated. Raise the gas tax instead.

2) Of course, even the motor fuel tax is regressive. Some people _must_ drive long distances. They aren't out joy riding, they have no choice. Out here in the D.C./Baltimore area (and most other major metro areas) people do not usually choose to live 30-50 miles from where they work -- it is the only way they can afford to live. People do not always have the money to buy a new (or used) car that gets 40 mpg. Maybe a relative gave them an old sedan that gets 18-20 mpg and they can barely afford the maintenance on it. Many farmers and ranchers must drive big pickup trucks and have no choice but to drive long distances. The same with construction workers, etc. You get the idea. It is not right to punish them for situations which are beyond their control.

Everything being equal -- income, required driving distance, vehicles needed -- then this would be easier. If no one really had to drive at all, or, say, no more than 10 miles per day, and everyone could afford an electric car, hybrid, or ultra-high mileage car that would suit their needs, then slamming them with a big fat fuel tax for driving a full-size crew cab dually pickup truck with a huge V-8 gas-sucking engine -- 'just because', for the "image" -- would make perfect sense.

Unfortunately it's not that simple.

Perhaps the gas tax should be set up like our income tax system (only simpler). The IRS recognizes that $50k/year is not the same from one person to the next. Some people have legitimate business expenses that are deductable for good reason. For example, it would not be fair to tax an independent cab driver on the entire amount he/she earns (their gross income), because they have to pay for fuel, maint., repairs, and license fees out of that. Likewise, it does not seem fair to a) have a flat tax (which the gas tax kinda is) and b) not allow any deductions for lower income folks and those who absolutely must drive long distances and/or lower mileage vehicles.

I rest my case. ;-)

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This morning [Dec. 11] I discovered this Baltimore Sun editorial on the subject. It's not critical of the gas tax, quite the contrary. But I thought it sufficiently well reasoned to be worth adding here:

Editorial, “The Toll On America; With the nation's transportation network ailing, raising the federal gas tax for the first time in 20 years is the best available remedy,”
Baltimore Sun, Dec. 5, 2013; The Gazette, Dec. 11, 2013, p. A6.

Ah, to be in the U.S. economy of 1990s, a decade when the gross domestic product grew by about one-third and unemployment dropped from 7.5 percent to 4 percent. In 1993, the federal government raised the tax on gasoline to 18.4 cents per gallon, an increase of more than 30 percent from the previous year, and business boomed.

Since then, the cost of a gallon of unleaded gasoline has more than doubled, yet the per-gallon federal excise tax has remained unchanged. States have raised their fuel taxes to keep up as best they can with local transportation needs, but the federal government's source of revenue has stagnated, a problem worsened by the fact that people are driving less and using more fuel efficient vehicles.

The result? The Highway Trust Fund has run dry, and the nation's transportation infrastructure has suffered. To simply keep up with basic needs, Congress has been forced to supplement it with billions of general tax dollars — money that might have otherwise been used to pay down the debt, offset sequestration cuts or fund other myriad priorities.

In the House this week, a bill was introduced that would raise the tax by 15 cents per gallon. That would, more or less, allow the tax to at least keep up with inflation (falling a bit short as a percentage of fuel costs). It has been endorsed by AAA, and it's a safe bet that many in the business community, in the labor unions and local government would like to see it approved as well. Reducing congestion and keeping up the transportation network is vital to the economy.

Yet it's also safe to assume the bill has absolutely no chance in the GOP-controlled chamber. So inviolate is their no-tax pledge that conservatives would rather see the nation's economy wither than be caught raising a tax that is so obviously in need of updating.

This is a classic case of cutting off one's nose to spite one's face. Critics can point to transportation dollars that have been wasted, allegedly, on projects that are under-used or built too elaborately or required their contractors to pay their workers a living wage. But collectively, such waste (and we use that term loosely since many of these complaints are misplaced) is negligible, even microscopic, compared to the enormous transportation needs.

According to the American Society of Civil Engineers, the U.S. needs to invest about $2.7 trillion in transportation and other infrastructure by 2020 if the nation is to remain globally competitive. Yet the federal trust fund has become so depleted that experts say it won't be able to meet existing obligations in 2015, let alone take on new projects.

To leave the next generation a pot-hole strewn, overcrowded and unworkable transportation system would be as disastrous and as economically crippling as any budget deficit. And, as history has demonstrated, raising fuel taxes does not kill jobs. Indeed, most industrialized nations tax fossil fuels at a much higher rate.

One can argue that in the future, the U.S. must gravitate toward a system of financing transportation that is not so dependent on gas taxes, perhaps one that taxes by miles traveled instead of fuel consumed. As a recent U.S. Public Interest Group report notes, Americans are driving less and depending on public transportation more — yet we don't have the resources to accommodate this transition.

It's also reasonable to look for more public-private partnerships and other creative ways to finance airports, ports, highways, trains, light rail and other modes of travel in the future. But that is not nearly enough. The bottom line is that the country is already falling behind, and realistically, raising the federal gas tax must be part of the equation.

Would raising the tax also increase the cost of fuel? Absolutely, but that's not necessarily a bad thing. As studies have shown, getting stuck in traffic is even more costly, and Americans are doing a lot of that these days. As a recent Texas A&M Transportation Institute study found, congestion is already costing the average American an extra $818 per year. As distasteful as raising gasoline costs may sound, it's a lot better than the alternative of neglecting the roads, bridges and rails — or expecting some other miracle to come along.

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